Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Brazil cup

Atletico Goianiense - Vitoria
Atletico -0,5 @1.9 10/10 betsson

Atletico is very strong home team and despite they miss best defender Jairo can win the game. They create many chances at home and need the win since they wiill play again at Vitoria's ground.
Vitoria have several players missings but biggest issue in right back position and in central defender where 2 young players will play. Other players are the same as agaisnt last cup match.

Sunday, May 9, 2010

Brazil 9/5

Ceara - Fluminense
Ceara +0 @1,88 6/10 pinnacle

ceara first home game
fluminense miss both regular strikers

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Serbia 8/5

Javor - Borac

seems a fixed draw. Both teams safe with great relations. Odds are dropping and bookies started to block it.
draw @3 4/10 betsson and whereever else available

Scottish 8/5

Airdrie - Brechin

2nd game for play offs. Brechin won the first by 2-1.
However, Airdrie is much better organized club and inexperienced Brechin will have hard time. Airdrie did well in 2nd round of div1. I expect Airdrie win by 2+ goals
Airdrie -0,75 @1.83 6/10 bet365

Spain A 8/5

Sporting Gijon - Atletico Madrid

Gijon wins and avoid releagtion troubles.
Atletico are interested only for Uefa cup and will field 2nd squad (eg. without Aguero, Forlan, Simao, Raul Garcia, Asuncao etc)
Sporting Gijon -0,75 @1.87 8/10 ibcbet,188bet,sbobet etc

Italy B 8/5

Mantova - Montena

odds have already fallen but still find value.
Mantova needs the 3pts as they are in play outs zone, while Montena seem to be safe. Althouh they will play with Brescia & Cesena next games, they can win Gallipoli at last round if it's necessary. Teams have very friendly relations, so home win seems much possible. My odds are 60-30-10, so still value @1.73
Mantova win @1.73 8/10 sportingbet

Brasil B 8-9/5

Portuguesa - Vila Nova

Vila Nova without striker Roni.
Portuguesa are coming from a strong Paulista league, players are more experienced and targeting the ppromotion. First home game of the season can't have any other result than home win.

Lineups:
Portuguese
Fábio; Preto Costa, Domingos e Thiago Gomes; Paulo Sergio, Acleisson, Ademir Sopa, Marco Antônio e Fabrício; Heverton (Luís Ricardo) e Luis Carlos (Athirson)

Vila Nova
Max; Osmar, Max Ferraz, Júnior Paulista e Michel; Gavião, Nunes, Joelson e Alysson; Gil e Bruno Cazarine.

Portuguesa win @1,65 7/10 gamebookers
4-1 +4,55u


Bahia - America RN
Bahia did a good Baiano league and seem to be in good condition.
America-RN face a lot of issues with coaches changes and they will try to present an improved style of play since their participation at local league was rather bad.
However, Bahia has the upper hand in the game.
Bahia -0,75@1.92 6/10 pinnaclesports
1-0 +2,76u

Friday, May 7, 2010

Poland 7-9/5

Cracovia Kraków – Polonia Warszawa
Both teams in relegation battle but are friendly teams and draw seem convinient for both
If it was an Italy game draw wouldn't be given over 1.6...
I usually don't bet on draws but this looks solid option
draw @3.15 expekt 4/10
1-2 -4u

Thursday, May 6, 2010

Libertadores 7/5

Libertad - Once Cadas
1st game ended 0-0. Both teams face difficulties to score and more than this they will be extremely careful not to concede since even with 0-0 they will try their chances in extra time or penalties. I think under 2,5 goals has good chances.

International - Banfield
Banfield managed a 3-1 win against at Argentina, in a game where Brailians have severe complaints for the reffery. Banfield is a good team but inexperienced and i can't see them avoid the defeat at Porto Alegre. THis doesn't mean that they cannot qualify, but International despite their mediocre performances for local league are sure able to push hard Banfield with the help of their funs and at least take the win.

Combination: Libertad under 2,5 @1.72 + International win @1.5
odds 2.58 5/10 betsson
Internacional 2-0
Libertad 2-1 bet lost in injury time :(
-5u

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Estonian

Kalev - Narva
I noticed odds drop in this game and did an investigation.
Narva is a much superior team than Kalev. Moreover, Kalev face huge squad issues as around 10 players are sidelined with many regulars among them.
small stake for away win since my knowledge is limited in this league
Narva win @2.3 3u Ladbrokes and many more
1-3 +3,9u
finally was easy :)

Monday, May 3, 2010

Weekly report 2/5

overall this weekend was a good one with 22u profits and 46% yield.
Parlays didn't do us the favor although colon scored a clear goal that didn't count as offside wrongly and genk pressed but no time to score 3rd.
I wish a new profitable week by tomorrow!

Sunday, May 2, 2010

Parlays

1st parlay
Although odds for Inter win are low, however seems quite sure since Lazio is 100% safe now after atalanta draw. I'll combine this bet with genk from belgium since it seems they are in good shape and can win westerlo quite easy. So,
inter + genk (1.3 + 1.75) @2.28 5/10 betsson
genk 2-2 inter won 2-0 parlay lost -5u
2nd parlay
Colon play at home with already relegated tucuman. Estudiantes goes to play at Chacarita that are also relegated. Colon & Estu quality prevails and should both win easy or not. Odds are low but chances for success are still high.
Colon + Estudiantes (1.4 + 1.45) @2.03 3/10 betsson
colon 0-0 Estudiantes 2-1 won parlay lost -3u

Chile 2/5

Union Espanola - Cobreloa

Union Espanola is a solid team that perform very well. Cobreloa is very poor on the road with just 1 point in 4 games. Its on Espanola players to dominate and get an easy win. Home win shouldn't be given over 1.7
Espanola win @1.79 pinnaclesports
forgot to put stake but was 7u (you can track it also from tcpbets.blogabet.com)
3-1 +5,46u

Brazil Paulista final

Santos - Santo Andre
santos won first game by 3-2 at Santo Andre. Now, saints of Andre need a win by 2 goals. Of course this can't happen against superior santos team who score 3+ in each home game. En entertaining match should be expected with plenty of goals (eg. 4-2 possible to me).
over 3,5 @2.19 6/10 betsson
2-3 +7,14u

Saturday, May 1, 2010

MLS 2-3/5

Real Salt Lake - Toronto
Champions haven't started the league with 3/5 defeats, but they were unlucky in their latest game against Colombus and should have got at least the draw. Now, win is mantatory in order to not lose touch from first positions completely. Moreover, they are very strong home team unbeaten for almost a year.
Toronto is a mediocre team very poor on the road. Moreover, they will miss 2 defenders.
Home win seems a solid bet and probably will come easy covering the handicap.
Real Salt Lake -0,75 @1.9 7/10 sbobet
2-1 +3,15u

Equador league 1-2/5

Deportivo Quito - Intependiente Jose Teran
Solid bet this one for hosts. Deportivo needs the win to enter 2nd phase rfom higher league positions. Intependiente are doing a fair good league but have not the experience to cope with Deportivo. Moreover, they disspaointed losing by Espoli at home although Espoli played almost all game with a man down.
Deportivo Quito win @1.75 8/10 unibet
3-2 +6u

El Nacional - Barcelona
El Nacional is hard nut to beat at home and i can't see either first placed Barcelona achive this. El Nacional have the best attack in the league along with LDU. Moreover, Barcelona never won El Nacional as a visitor in last 12 games since 2004. I believe that Nacional can win this game but 1X is the safest option.
El Nacional 1X @1.7 7/10 unibet
0-0 +4,9u

Liga de Quito - Deportivo Cuenca
LDU are unbeaten with 6 wins and 6 draws. Today they will play with strong squad since 3 regulars are returning from injuries and punishment. Cuenca are a solid team but i can't see them leave Quito with a positive result.
LDU win @1.7 5/10 unibet
2-0 +3,5u